Aaron Kobren

Aaron, Opta is not a fan of this ten, and the projection says so: 29.5 bonus points, last of the 266. That is a forecast, not a score, and the forecast is built on PSG at 6.5% to win it all for the full $60, Atletico at 0.5% for $35, and Napoli at 0.3% for $25. Three clubs, $120, and Opta thinks two of them go out early. If Opta is wrong about Paris, most of the room is wrong the other way, since only 56 entries hold PSG.

Matchday one gives you two games where both clubs are yours. PSG host Slovan Bratislava on Wednesday, and a PSG win is the useful one, since 56 entries hold Slovan without PSG. Slavia Prague host Lens on Thursday, and there a Lens win separates you from the 123 entries holding Slavia alone. Napoli's Wednesday against Arsenal is the one to watch for the big-money argument: 56 entries hold Arsenal without Napoli, and you are one of 21 the other way.

The Leaguel desk, Sep 7, 2026, 8:00 PM EDT